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08/15/1988 - City Council SpecialSPECIAL MEETING EAGAN CITY COUNCIL MONDAY, AUGUST 15, 1988 7:30 P.M. I. ROLL CALL AGENDA II. REVIEW OF RETAIL /COMMERCIAL STUDY - LAVENTHOL & HORWATH III. OTHER BUSINESS IV. ADJOURNMENT MEMO TO: HONORABLE MAYOR & CITY COUNCILMENBERS FROM: CITY ADMINISTRATOR HEDGES DATE: AUGUST 5, 1988 SUBJECT: SPECIAL CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION Please be advised that a special City Council meeting is scheduled for Monday, August 15, 1988, at 7:30 p.m., for the purpose of reviewing the commercial /retail study that was prepared by the consulting firm of Laventhol & Horwath. A copy of the report was distributed last week to each City Councilmember. If your copy was misplaced, please feel free to contact this office and a new copy will be made for your review. The City Planner has prepared an executive summary, a copy is enclosed for your review. Please regard the report prepared by Laventhol & Horwath as a draft copy of the retail study following your discussion and special City Council meeting direction. A final report will be prepared and distributed for Council consideration. (- \\x43,6, 4 .0 4,S. City Administrator TLH /kf MEMORANDUM TO: Tom Hedges, City Administrator FROM: Dale Runkle, City Planner DATE: August 12, 1988 SUBJECT: Laventhol and Horwath Retail Market Study Laventhol and Horwath has recently completed its retail market analysis for the City of Eagan. The purpose of this study was to assess the level of retail commercial space supportable in Eagan by the year 2010. The technical memorandum containing the results of this study is a relatively condensed document. As such, rather than summarize the information contained in the document, some of the questions raised by its conclusions will be discussed. The methodology used made certain assumptions regarding location of Eagan retail nodes, retail trade areas, etc. Conclusions were drawn based on these assumptions. The question then becomes: if different assumptions were made, to what extent would the conclusions be different? For example, Tables 7 through 9 indicate an excess of commercial acreage in Nodes 1, 3 and 4 for each of the three scenarios. However, does this indicate that there is excess commercial acreage in the City of Eagan, or that there is excess commercial acreage in the City of Eagan, but only at the assumed locations? What effect would relocating these nodes have on the amount of overall supportable commercial acreage? In addition, whether the study takes into account a retailer's lead time for building its market share is unclear. For example, if Target comes on line in 1989, but requires a five year lead - time to capture its share of the market, will this indicate an excess of supportable retail square footage for that node in the year 1990? The Laventhol and Horwath study provides extremely useful information regarding retail potential for the City of Eagan. However, in using this document to assist in making future land use policy decisions, the assumptions, as well as conclusions, must be considered.